End-of-season strategy and strategic whistleblowing objectives

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We did it. We have reached the home stretch of fantastic baseball season, and what a season that has been. We’re down to something like 47 hitterless and 589 COVID-IL stints, but none of that matters right now. What matters is that we end the season strong in the Roto and H2H leagues. I’ll dive into the end-of-season strategies and tips below, as well as some of the waiver thread strategic targets. Go get that money!


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End of season strategy / advice

Formulate a plan of attack (H2H)

At this point, if you’re playing in an H2H league, it’s playoff time. You’ve faced an opponent every week this season, but now is the time to really focus on what your opponent is doing to try and beat you. It is very important to enter the weekly game with a plan of attack, but also try to quickly identify your opponent’s plan of attack. Once you’ve done that, there are two ways you can play it.

  1. Stick to your plan and try to beat them that way.
  2. Beat them at their own game.

The 2nd is riskier and I would only advise you to do it if you have a high level of confidence to be successful. But more often than not, stick to your plan. And remember, you just need to win more categories than the other person. It doesn’t have to be sexy or a massive win. Winning 5-5 on a tiebreaker moves you forward like a 10-0 beatdown Make sure you know your league settings and what that tiebreaker is because you might need it in the end of the week.

It is essential to know the strengths of your team as well as those of your opponent. If your opponent has been dominating steals all season and you’re near the bottom, trying to win this category isn’t the wisest idea. Focus on targeting specific categories to get the number of wins you need.

Pay attention to matches and schedules

This becomes more and more important over time, especially in one-on-one leagues. Finding these favorable matchups can help you decide who to start with each week and make a significant difference in your one-on-one matchup. For example, if you’re struggling between two players and one of them is a left-handed hitter battling left-handed people and they’re up against four left-handed people that week, it may be best to find a different option. Or, if a team like Toronto is racking up nearly nine points per game in September, it might not be wise to use pitchers against them who aren’t clear options like Gerrit Cole. Here are some matches and calendar trends to avoid or exploit.

Avoid streamers against Tampa Bay and Toronto: These two teams lead the MLB in points scored by a national mile over the past four months. Obviously start your crampons, but unless it’s obvious, look elsewhere.

Stream against Miami and Cleveland: The Marlins are second in final points over the past 30 days with the 5th most strikeouts. Their next series is against the Pirates, Nationals, Rays and Mets, so I recommend that you seek out streamers if necessary. As for Cleveland, they’ve only hit 0.216 in the last 15 games with the most strikeouts while averaging just 3.4 R / G.

Erick Fedde just pitched five one-run innings with eight strikeouts against Miami on Tuesday night and gets those Nats again on his next start. I would have no objection to revisiting it after its appearance last night.

I don’t care about the player’s name

Now is not the time to get attached to your big named players. Just because you might have used a high pick on them six months ago, that doesn’t mean anything now. Play the players who give you the best chance of winning that week or who help you gain ground in roto formats. And yes, that could mean giving up players you never thought you would lose at the start of the season. No one should start Cody Bellinger right now. Period. End of the conversation. If you are, it’s your fault.

The other players that I would bench or cut right now depending on the options available are Tommy Pham, Trent Grisham, Mike Moustakas (in squad), Joey Gallo, Yu Darvish, Kyle Hendricks, Hyun-jin Ryu and Tyler Mahle. Mahle has extreme home / road gaps and is lined up for two back-to-back home starts after tomorrow’s road start. I don’t care if he faces Washington and Pittsburgh either. Mahle is unusable at home with a 6.09 ERA this season.

Focus on specific categories (Roto)

This is the most crucial in my eyes, especially in roto formats. While you should never completely ignore a category, there are some that require special attention at this time. In one of my leagues that I claim to win, my team is comfortably winning SB right now but HR is very close. So instead of starting someone like Garrett Hampson (he’s a 15-team), in my outfield I’ll give Patrick Wisdom a chance and hope he can throw some more. Focus on the categories where the potential point swing is the most important and try to regain some ground there or at least not lose if a few teams pinch your heels.

Strategic whistleblower targets

AVERAGE by Bryan De La Cruz (DE – MIA): Very discreetly, Bryan De La Cruz has been classified since his recall by Miami. The 24-year-old outfielder is hitting 0.338 in 149 home plate appearances with four homers, one steal and a 24.8% strikeout rate. It’s obviously not sustainable, but De La Cruz is on a roll that is worth driving and can help out a bit in the food area as well.

Yonny Hernandez (3B – TEX) SPEED: In the past two weeks, only Adalberto Mondesi has made more thefts than Yonny Hernandez’s five. Sure, he doesn’t provide much more than that, but he’s been playing almost regularly for Texas lately and can give a major steal boost. Andres Gimenez is a fallback option in the deeper leagues. Also make sure Myles Straw is not sitting on your waiver cable.

DJ Peters (OF – TEX) POWER: From now until the end of time, DJ Peters will always be an all-or-nothing type of hitter, but that “all” is serious raw power. When Peters puts a charge in one, he can get out fast and he got 10 home runs last month to prove it. If you need a cheap power boost and aren’t expecting anything else, Peters is your man.

Bobby Dalbec (1B – BOS): POWER: After four to five disappointing first months of the season, Bobby Dalbec stepped up the pressure last month with eight home runs, including four last week. Boston has had to deal with many absences from their roster, which has allowed Dalbec to play regularly and he is making the most of it. His immense raw power can absolutely provide a substantial boost over the past few weeks. For power, also think of Jesús Sanchez, Anthony Santander and Brad Miller. Also make sure Brandon Belt isn’t always available as he’s been running a lot on the outfield wall recently. I’m going to see myself.

Eric Lauer (SP – MIL) ERA / WHIP: Lauer isn’t as electric as his spinning mates, but he’s sure to get the job done right now. Over the past month, Lauer has posted a 2.23 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 32.1 innings and a 3.10 ERA on the season. He will get the Cubs and Mets at home in his next two starts which hit 0.216 and 0.221 respectively in the past week and are both in the last 10 offensives against lefties this season.

Carlos Hernandes (SP – KCR) ERA / WHIP: Although he doesn’t get many strikeouts, Carlos Hernandez has a 2.05 ERA and a WHIP of 0.98 in the past month and has allowed two earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts. . After a tilt against Oakland on Thursday, he is sure to come back against Cleveland.

Tarik Skubal (SP – DET) ORDERS: He’s lost some ground after his early season success, but Tarik Skubal is still racking up strikeouts. Skubal has registered a 34.7% strikeout rate in his last five starts and has the 8th best K-BB% in baseball since 8/1. He gets the Rays on Sunday, but if you want strikeouts, Skubal only registered six in three innings against Tampa Bay in his last fight. After the Rays, Skubal will face the Royals at home next weekend.

Dylan Floro (RP – MIA) SAVE: Either way, Dylan Floro is still available in 2/3 of the Fantastic Leagues despite seven saves in the past month. He posted a 1.93 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP to go along with those saves. Other save targets include Scott Barlow (KCR), Kyle Finnegan (WAS), Andrew Kittredge (TBR) and Drew Steckenrider (SEA).

Media credit: MLB Pipeline, Chris Clegg, PI / Zuma Press / Icon Sportswire


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